Understanding China's Next Move

congratulations on the 20k to you and

the other shore runners we all

appreciate the quality streams and

videos thanks so much

thank you so much louis farrakhan thank

you so much

appreciate that a lot guys we are

looking at um

a rather

anticlimactic um conclusion i i

genuinely did think

that world war three would be starting

today and it hasn't

it hasn't and um

we have to be kind of honest about

what's going on and

you know

uh try to and the best way we can with a

you know sober

perspective

analyze what the fuck is going on right

she she landed into taiwan

they didn't do anything nothing happened

there was no response

whatsoever

uh it was clearly a red line for them

red line was crossed

and at least in the immediate sense

nothing has happened right and this came

as a shock to me

i

uh for the whole day did not really know

how to respond to it

because it was so surprising to me right

and you know i made sure to check over

on chinese social media

and oh boy

it does not look good over on chinese

social media there's just a lot of

outrage on part of chinese netizens

about the inaction of the chinese

government

and the pla

over the recent visit uh you know that

she was not prevented from landing and

that in retaliation for a landing

nothing happened

but you know um

at the end of the day i'm not chinese i

don't live in china i'm an american my

country is america the country that's

relevant to um you know

to my expectations

this one i can't hold china to some kind

of standard and expect china to do

things

uh you know for the sake of its own

honor and for the sake of its own

you know

saving face i mean it's just it's not my

business it has nothing to do with me

right

and then on the other hand you know

there's also the the fact that you have

to pay attention to um

the

reality that this is not over right and

that's what we're going to cover today

it's not over

because they are holding um

drills

in basically encircling taiwan from the

fourth to the seventh and i think that's

when we're gonna i'm not see i know

today so yesterday i told you guys okay

tomorrow some big shit's gonna happen

i'm not here to just move that date to

another day i really don't know what the

at this point i don't know what to

expect

from the chinese government

in response to this cro

according to their own you know

statements this crossing of their red

line i don't know what to expect

but it's very possible that in those

drills they're going to be holding in

two days

that those exercises are not just going

to be exercises they are going to be the

prelude

for a full-scale unification

of taiwan

and then i've had other people tell me

that no that's not going to happen

that's just going to happen later in the

spring or later some other time i don't

know

personally i'm i'm not going to sit here

and and speculate upon things i don't

know i am i just do want to inform you

inform you you know and we're going to

be consistently talking about this

throughout the video

that there are going to be live

exercises

um

from the 4th to the 7th and i think

they've already begun i'm not exactly

sure uh

around the taiwan area how is this going

to lead to a war is this going to lead

to a full-scale war

not yet at least i mean let me just put

it this way i think the prospects of a

confrontation between the united states

and china have significantly decreased

they've significantly decreased there's

a possibility that after nancy pelosi

leaves

china may come and take taiwan

within you know that by before the end

of this week depending on when you

define the end of the week like before

sunday right

and i that is not really within my

i can't i can't i can't even bet on that

i would not even be willing to bet on

that right but

this was definitely not a pretext for a

third world war it looks like that

rhetoric

was not actually um

at least so far right that that

that basically an invasion of china's

territory did not spark a war

which is uh

so it's rather confusing for me right

but

i i mean i at the end of the day i'm not

chinese i'm not the chinese leadership

i'm not the pla

i'm sure they they know something i'm

sure they know a few things that i don't

right i'm willing to be humble about the

fact that they probably

know quite a few things that i don't

thank you so much monkey world

appreciated americans i think we should

be glad that we didn't enter world war

iii bc of crazy nancy trust the plan

also congrats on the 20k subscribers

thank you so much monkey

now as an american i'll tell you what my

concerns are about um what happened

again

i'm not in the chinese i'm just a

fucking youtuber right so all i can do

is really speculate

but my concern is that the us is going

to be emboldened by china's if there's a

lack of a response

which i just find it hard to believe

that there's just not going to be any

response i mean it's still early right

but i think this if there isn't going to

be a response

i mean like if they're not going to

proceed with unification as a result of

this and nothing is really going to

happen i think that is going to

significantly embolden

u.s imperialism you know bully and push

people around to an unprecedented degree

knowing that there's not going to be any

repercussions for what they do

and again china made this it's red line

and the us just crossed its red line

right

uh

so i i think that you know

that could embolden

uh the you know more reckless actions

from the united states

oh ultimately it's

hassan is devastated at the lack of

bloodshed

by the pla

can you give me a link that's

interesting i don't know anything about

that i i have no idea about anything

uh as far as the son's response to the

whole thing is concerned

i i didn't think he would be pro china

that's kind of weird

no i'm not i'm not um disappointed at

the lack of bloodshed i'm not

disappointed a weird weird word i'm more

confused and a little bit shocked

i could sit here and pretend to go okay

guys it's all part of the plan i'm not

going to be here to cope right

china made this its redline

and

nancy landed and nothing happened so far

now i know it's only been a day right

it's only been a day

so we'll see what i mean maybe the the

response to this is going to be a in the

long term

they already responded no they didn't

okay issuing a harsh

statement is not a response

and

you know

it's not a response there has not been a

response to this yet

i have to take responsibility for my

reporting what i reported to you guys

was nothing but the truth

uh

the chinese

military and the government

were issuing very stern words of warning

uh as far as nancy pelosi's visit was

concerned

and you know we have yet to see what

that warning is going to amount to

to my surprise right i thought something

would have happened today apparently not

though right and if it's not happening

today

then it looks like there's not going to

be a confrontation between the us

and china not at least in in the form of

a you know direct confrontation which is

good you know we're not going to be

destroyed in flames in a nuclear war

but

i'm just curious about what

you know

if any repercussions that we'll have

within china as far as the chinese

public is concerned because chinese

netizens

on chinese social media are outraged

over the lack of response

yeah they are again uh more people are

coming in so i have to keep reiterating

this so from the fourth to the seventh

of this month so that's in a few days

they're going to be holding military

drills around all of taiwan

which are actually expected

um

to be a

more severe repeat of the taiwan strait

crisis

in the 90s

now they say drills as if these are just

going to be like you know

exercise these are not going to just be

exercises or drills these are this is

probably going to lead to some just like

the taiwan straight crisis in the 90s

led to the chinese firing on taiwanese

positions we're going to see something

similar to that most likely right this i

mean the scale of these drills that

they're doing from the 4th to the 7th i

mean they are much more severe

and much more significant

than

the crisis in the 90s i mean just way

more severe way more significant

you know way more pronounced

in nature yeah they're live fire drills

i mean

look

so it's it's gonna be some kind of

crisis and if it isn't

it it isn't right

and i

as of now my track record is not very

good

you know so i i can't really

go off of my own word

i can't really use go you know i can't

have you oh yeah just trust me guys i'm

an inside i'm not an insider right i

predicted something yesterday

which managed to not happen at all

my prediction was just a spectacular

failure

i will fully

fully own that

i'll fully own that right

i will fully own that my prediction for

this was completely wrong

now i'm just kind of confused right

uh i'm confused about

with china responding by helping russian

ukraine be strong enough response

no this concerns china's territorial

integrity

i'm just going off of what they

themselves had said and i what i'm

worried about as an american

is an emboldening of our imperialist

ruling class that they're going to

engage in more reckless actions they're

going to say oh you know everyone's just

bluffing we can do whatever we want no

one's going to challenge us no one's

going to do anything we can just

encroach upon everybody's sovereignty

with no repercussions

and and uh you know it'll be completely

fine that's my biggest worry right

i'm not going to be worried for china

because i'm not chinese that's china's

business and china's business only

chinese government answers to the

chinese people they don't answer to

western leftists they don't answer the

western communists i mean what we think

is irrelevant it's stupid right as far

as they're concerned

so i mean yeah i kind of i understand

there's a lot of like you know western

communists

who are super disappointed and they're

kind of like

you know

they see it as a betrayal and that's

just stupid because

china's not a globalist country it's

china

now there's chinese netizens who see it

as a betrayal and they have the right to

because they're actually chinese

but china is not like some contrived

ideological project it's a country with

over a billion people in it and you know

what happens in china is the business of

the people of china

people of china alone

so yeah it's it's it's quite foolish

for so many of these people to express

that level of outright disappointment

i'm not really disappointed in china i'm

more kind of disappointed in in myself

for

getting it so wrong right i'm a bit

it it has inspired a great deal of

reflection on my part

throughout the day i've just been

thinking to myself like huh i really got

that wrong

i put it at like a 70 80 chance i mean

to be fair

i don't think she had a military escort

i don't believe she did to taiwan

i don't believe she did from from the

u.s

um

government

so the the taiwan air force escorted the

government special flight but it was not

us

military

uh planes escorting them

she did

ah

u.s planes were escorting her

u.s planes escorted her to taiwan really

and they they touched down to taiwan

yeah i did see one tre i'm we're gonna

get into that but um

she had a c7 following her that took off

an aircraft carrier in the china sea

ah

well

that cope is ruined

so i mean i guess yeah i was i put it at

a 70 to 80 chance that china

was going to act in response to this

and

i guess the 20 one out right i guess

that's that's that 20

that i gave room for but

yeah no i i took the l i got it wrong

i'm not going to cope about it i'm not

going to sit here and tell you guys oh

no guys trust me this is i i don't know

i really don't know what that i mean all

i can tell you is i don't know at this

point if china's not

gonna do if they didn't do anything

about that as far as so there's two

prongs to this and i i feel like as an

influencer it would be more it would be

better for me to just kind of like

gaslight you about what i said

but i just want i'm an honest guy i have

a reputation of being an honest guy so

i'm going to actually tell you the

prongs

involved in this and why i did get this

wrong there's no really there's really

no way out of it

um as far as this prediction just being

utterly false

so

let me explain that to you because

there's two aspects to this because i

feel like people get a canoes thank you

so much boydber appreciate you man holy

fuck thank you

this will at the very least heighten

tensions between the usa and china and

things will only deteriorate more the

usa economically in the coming two years

you'd think that some people would be

somewhat relieved that we avoided

nuclear armageddon thank you so much

voidburn

yeah i mean i'm relieved

but uh i did get my prediction wrong so

i'm also not really about that

i'm relieved about being wrong i'm not

relieved about

i'm relieved about i'm not relieved

about being wrong

but i am relieved that we avoided a a

confrontation

so let me explain to you how i got this

wrong right

so even if china does something

from the fourth to the seventh during

their live drills i still got it wrong

because my

argument was not that china was going to

reunify

in response to what pelosi did

my argument was that china was going to

interpret

pelosi's landing within china as an act

of war

why because china considers taiwan part

of its invaluable uh you know

sovereignty

part of its territory

and a foreign power that comes to your

territory is invading you if you if

you're not welcome

again it's like

you know

if you have a house and you say you

can't enter my house it's my territory

and someone walks in your house anyway

that's an invasion of your home

especially if they bring military

escorts

so my interpretation was that this was

going to be considered it could be like

the stream by the way guys like the

fucking stream my interpretation was

that this was going to be construed

or rather considered an act of war

that was my

interpretation and i was wrong about

that they did not consider it an act of

war

so regardless of the military drills

that china is going to engage in after

pelosi leaves

this is not gonna immediately lead to a

war between the us and china

china may decide okay we're reunifying

right now because we're not gonna let

this shit ever happen again right but

they're not gonna target the united

states

for invading them they're not gonna

respond to the us

for invading them

at least in the language of war there

may be economic consequences or

something

it just doesn't seem like

you know china is going to land in

hawaii in response to this while they're

not welcome

and i was i was wrong about that

um

and i i do think you know yeah i i don't

regret

trying to raise awareness about it

because again nobody gave a fuck

that's such a reckless provocative move

on part of pelosi

but now my concern and my worry despite

the fact that it's a great relief we

have avoided conflict

now my concern and now my worry

is going to be that

this is going to enable more reckless

decisions and more reckless actions on

part of the united states

who probably feel i mean the us probably

feels invincible right now they probably

feel like

wow all of our enemies are just bluffing

we can do anything we want

right

there was a similar kind of situation

some people felt after the assassination

the murder i should rather put of qasim

suleimani

but at least iran you know like bombed

the us military base in response to that

so there was a formal response of some

kind

now

china is not iran china is

probably the second most powerful

country on earth right now

so this has confused me

however my confusion is is not that

um pronounced because i can see

that there's such a level of outrage on

chinese social media

on weibo and and on so on and

i really think that's going to have

internal political consequences

um and now the only thing that's going

to offset that is a reunification

process but china's people's congress is

coming up in the fall in the autumn

and i think if the people if the chinese

people are going to have any input in

that

you know

it's not gonna bode well for the current

leadership

this

can be interpreted as losing face right

it could really be interpreted as that

and

i'm le i'm not really inclined to

believe that oh i'm just

misunderstanding the situation

because you know you look at the

response by chinese netizens and the

outrage thank you so much class

fundamentally

the world can see who the provocateur is

as a result

china is free to respond at a time of

its own choosing

you're right you're right thank you so

much love tony g appreciate you so much

holy fuck with the 50. holy fucking shit

good morning holy fuck a muriel with

another 50. damn y'all are on a roll

today

y'all are really on a roll today thank

you so much guys appreciate you so much

but as i was trying to say as i'm trying

to actually get at here

thank you so much guys appreciate it a

lot but as i'm actually trying to say

here

the issue we're facing is

yeah china can respond respond at a time

of its own choosing

but it's not

i don't see how it could respond in the

language of war with the united states

again let me reiterate i'm a lawyer so i

have to be technical about this let me

reiterate this specific

you know angle i was approaching this at

before

this morning and by the way i woke up

early to just see if anything happened

and nothing happened

so the angle i was approaching this as

is this is an act of war this is an act

of war right well clearly it's not an

act of war

i doubt china's gonna respond at a later

time

to to get revenge against the united

states i doubt that they're gonna like

invade

you know hawaii or something

i do think it's probably inevitable

right

that in the very near future

reunification is happening

but that is not a response to the us's

invasion of chinese territory it's

at least it's not a response to the us

in particular it's not it's not um

punishing the us in any specific way

it's not you know

it's not uh

going to war with the us for invading

china

now

this is going to sound like cope right

but i ha i i have to cope because i have

to

i have to like

i have to be charitable to the chinese

position right

it is possible that reunification could

be a response to this because maybe the

chinese government's you know um stance

is that

it wasn't that the us invaded our

territory it was that bandits and

renegades controlling the taiwan island

opened the doors for foreigners in a way

that was unlawful and that we have to

punish these bandits

um you know for

violating the sovereignty of our country

so that could be an angle that they're

going to work with that could be their

angle that could be their response

it probably will be right

in which case you know a reunification

will result

i have no doubt about this

in the removal

from government of the dpp

and the current

taiwanese government it's going to be a

real regime change

in taiwan right

so that much is very possible right

that much is very possible and also i

you know look don't underestimate the

economic retaliation either

but i'm a political theorist right

economic

impacts can be very severe in terms of

their their impact but ultimately this

is a matter of the letter of the law

right i'm a i'm a political science

theorist this is a matter of the letter

of the law

and when you're talking about a formal

invasion of a country

more i mean what else do you call it

right when you're talking about more or

less a foreign invasion of of a

sovereign country

you are talking about

a you know

you are talking about

something a little more you're talking

about something more direct than an

economic

impact you're talking about like a

formal declaration of war you're talking

about in

an upsetting of the formal political

status quo in some kind of way

so let's not cope uh my advice to all of

us who are pro china in this country is

going to be the following before we

delve into more in our analysis of

what's going on i want to give a word of

advice for those of us anti-imperialists

in the united states

how should we be responding to this

again this is just my advice i can't i

can't force you to respond in any way i

just can give you advice

let's not cope let's not try to come up

with excuses for the chinese government

the reason we shouldn't do that because

china's we shouldn't be globalist china

is its own country and it has its own

people

and there's a lot of sentiment within

china right now that is furious

furious

at the government

furious

at the leadership right now

and that's their internal business we

can't say that their feelings are

illegitimate

but by coping and making excuses that's

what we're doing we're basically

telling those chinese netizens that are

super upset about this that oh you're

irrational and you're illegitimate well

we don't have a right to say that right

we are outsiders we are not

we can't

we cannot

assume the burden of responsibility

for the decisions of china's government

we can't control the narrative we

shouldn't do that right what we should

rather do

is recognize

you know

that as far as our countries are

concerned

um we do have the ability to control

what we do in our own countries

and our position should be pretty clear

whatever china does

we

must defend china's right to

self-determination

because our country just so happens to

be the country

that is violating the self-determination

of china

if the chinese government makes

decisions that we find disappointing or

we find weak or you know we find

whatever

that's not what matters as much as

the ability to defend their right to

self-determination

in the first place

and i think that's what our duty is as

americans our duty is to fight against

the globalists and the imperialists

who are trying to encroach upon

the sovereignty of other countries and

why are we trying to fight

uh the globalist imperialists of our own

countries is it because we are

paternalistic and altruistic and we're

trying to govern china in a way that we

see fit

are we trying to govern the world in a

way that we see that no we are

self-interested actually

in the victory

of the working class of our own country

and when our government is empowered

with such vast degrees of control

to the point where they can boss around

entire other countries

this circumvents

our own sovereignty as a people right

in order to exercise that level of power

to bully other countries

and to violate the self-determination

and sovereignty of other countries

you know our government has to bypass

our constitution they have to bypass our

own democratic protocols they have to

bypass

the sovereignty of our own people

if we want to remain a free and

sovereign people we want to protect

our constitution

a semblance of some kind of democracy

and sovereignty of the people here

it is our duty

to work in the best way possible

to fight against imperialism this is not

a new criticism by the way

you know during the early stages of

imperialism

some of the first critics of imperialism

within the united states and britain

actually

in the early 1900s were lib were

classical libertarian liberals right

they weren't communists or socialists

they were people who were saying hey

you know

this imperialism this is violating our

liberties at home this is a you know

this is this is going beyond the bounds

of the classical liberal values you know

and and it's going beyond the bounds of

our form of sovereignty and our

constitution right some of the first

anti-imperialists in the united states

were very conservative kind of

constitutionalists

who just didn't like these adventures

the government was engaging in

because they saw them as encroachments

on the original vision of our founding

fathers to not interfere in the affairs

of other countries

so you have to understand that it's not

only in our interests as communists

fighting the class struggle

it's in our national interest as

americans

that we

fight against imperialism

or fight against globalism which is the

highest and newest form of imperialism

it's in our interest as americans that's

why we can we should be creating a

popular front and an alliance

communists libertarians conservatives

independents

all of us should be joining together

to fight against

the enemies of the american people the

enemies of our people right that's what

we should be doing

so it's not about ideology

it is not about ideology it's not about

having one ideology or the other

um

when we i'm i'm gonna be frank with

everyone right i'm a communist i've

never hidden the fact that i'm a

communist

but our defense of china here doesn't

come

just from the fact that we're communists

it comes from the fact that we're

americans and we're patriots

comes from the fact that we have a

loyalty above all else to the american

people we have a loyalty to the american

people that demands

we oppose

any attempt to meddle in the affairs of

other countries

this does not benefit us all this does

is violate our sovereignty a

it gets us

involved in conflicts

that we have no reason to be involved in

it gets us involved in conflicts that

drain our resources

in a way that doesn't even benefit us

as american citizens living here as

normal american people

second

it enables our government

with such unprecedented powers

domestically and abroad

that go beyond the social contract that

is the foundation of our state

meaning and if you want a concrete

example of this look at the patriot act

during the bush era

during the patriot act of the bush era

you know you had an unprecedented

blitzkrieg assault on our

constitutionally mandated liberties

okay and that's going to get's going to

continue to accelerate now kovid the

covet crisis

as they called it

led to another unprecedented

encroachment upon our constitutional

liberties

so any foreign meddling or conflict that

our deep state and the globalists decide

to start abroad

is gonna turn that up quite a few dials

okay it's gonna be their pretext

with

to you know strip us of any semblance of

democratic liberties we have left okay

so

you need to understand this is not about

china it's not even about china as far

as we're concerned we are not chinese

i'm not chinese i'm an american

it's not about the chinese communist

party now i personally as a as a from an

intellectual and from a philosophical

perspective

i am very influenced

by several chinese communist leaders

thank you so much sir

2036 is happening i'm influenced by

people like sun yat-sen

who's who is the founder of the chinese

nation the father of the chinese nation

i'm influenced

obviously by mao mao is a huge influence

to me

i'm influenced by deng xiaoping

i'm influenced also by xi jinping and

i'm influenced by the chinese communist

party it's historical experiences and

its achievements but the reason i'm

influenced by them is because i think

there's a great deal we can learn from

them to apply to our own country you

know because they have experience

dealing with things we don't quite

successfully and i also see how

the chinese communists

have managed

to inherit aspects of the american

system

in

you know that we have left behind in

favor of the british um the british

empire's you know specific

social economic and philosophical uh

position

so i see the spirit of 1776 in china

in ways that have have departed from us

right

china's approach

to economic development

is very much based on

unleashing the forces of production

it's very much based on a spirit of

pragmatism that is very american it's

very much based on a level of

no-nonsense you know common sense

um it's very much based on a localism

that promotes you know local communities

having the

we would call it liberty right

to live

prosper and pursue

um

engage in the pursuit of happiness the

values that we cherish as americans so

there's so many aspects of china that to

me keep the spirit of 1776 alive

right

it's their fierce spirit

of you know in in many ways real

republicanism and democracy in their

country

uh it's it's the extent to which

the party answers to the chinese people

is receptive to the sentiments of the

chinese people it's the extent to which

you know

they don't engage in this social

engineering and this degree of and it's

going to sound crazy that i'm saying

this because of all the misconceptions

that were taught about china right

but the truth is is that china is not a

totalitarian country they don't engage

in these manipulative attempts thank you

so much evelyn they don't engage in this

manipulative attempts to socially

engineer the country in this or that way

china's a country

of pragmatic hard-working people but

don't tolerate bullshit they don't

tolerate nonsense and they're not

brainwashed they're not slaves

and whenever the government crosses the

line they throw a big fuss

the government backs off

china

engages in some of the most pro-people

governance

in the world if not the most pro-people

governance in the world

so i i went off on a tangent right

there's a lot of things about china i

admire from an intellectual from a

political and from an ideological

perspective but

even if china

was a nightmare even if china was a

totalitarian you know horrible country

with

the worst government in the world and

the worst ideology it would not matter

if you're an american patriot

and you're an american you're a liberty

loving

american

then your position should easily

amount to a wholesale rejection an

unequivocal rejection

of their attempts and when i say there i

mean our deep state to meddle in the

foreign affairs of china

and the reason i'm saying this is

because there's no reason to express

disappointment in what china has done

there's no reason at all

it doesn't matter whatever happens in

china isn't our business as long as it's

in china

it doesn't matter what happens there

our duty is to ensure

that our state that we ultimately do

control as a people

even if we you know

the minority of us who are woke truly

woke about these issues

aren't the ones in control we have a

responsibility

to get our own house in order to make

sure that

our problems aren't china's problems and

vice versa okay

so

that's what we're dealing with that's

exactly what we're dealing with here

it is not about liking the chinese

government or liking the communist party

even though i like both of those things

it is about the fact

that our government and our deep state

and the globalists are engaged in a

methodical

you know attempt

to violate the sovereignty and

self-determination of the chinese people

and to that extent it is our business we

have a duty to oppose this to speak out

against it

and it doesn't matter what ideology you

come from as long as you're not a shill

of the establishment as long as you're

not a shill of the elites and you're an

independent-minded person

you should more than easily agree with

what i'm saying here right we have a

duty to make sure our deep state is

beholden only to us

you don't go you don't go dip your

fingers in all these other countries

around the world

to create the context for the absorbing

of so much power and control the war is

not about silly sea owned ships it's to

protect human trafficking operations in

asia say i'm not dying for human

traffickers thank you both gang i'm not

even familiar with that it would not

surprise me though to the

it would not

surprise me in the slightest if that was

the case

i am just personally not familiar with

it but yeah that would not surprise me

at all if it were true if it turned out

to be true

so yeah

we are dealing with a pretty severe

situation here

where you know

we have to

recognize

that the danger is not

danger hasn't passed okay by the way

because

when and it is a question of when when

china decides to formally

embark upon unit reunification

there's a high possibility

and there's going to be overwhelming

public sentiment not only public but

elite manufactured sentiment

to go to war with china

when reunification begins

and we need to be on the front lines at

least in our capacity as as as people

who have a voice right

to oppose that

we have to be on the we we have to be

very loud about opposing that

right and it's not going to be much

maybe right

we've got to do our best

to tell the truth thank you so much

midwestern marks appreciate you so much

man how are you doing

uh everyone go check out midwestern

marks

the great great content creator

but um

i think it's a it's a group it's a great

content

eddie's great i think i know eddie a

little bit and all the other guys are

great too

but um

we have to recognize right

that

the most the most powerful weapon when

we don't have a mass movement we don't

have any power really in this country is

telling the truth

you know youtube's gonna come and crack

down social media is gonna come and

crack down in the event of in the event

of a war with china

and that's okay but

the most powerful thing that is in our

disposal

is our voice it's the most powerful

thing

within our disposal we have the voice to

tell the truth

about what's going by the way it's not

only china there's a lot of other things

people are neglect neglecting

like

afghanistan like how the us has violated

its withdrawal and peace agreement with

the taliban in afghanistan just recently

when joe biden

you know assassinated that that that al

qaeda guy or whatever right

so

wherever it happens in the world we've

got to take a stance

and i understand china is you know

probably the

most powerful

counter-hegemonic force

but china doesn't have that duty to us

right china's not part of some formal

association that's and they're not

responsible to us they're responsible

only to themselves

if they're not being the most effective

counter-hegemonic force politically

speaking

it's none of our business it's really

just not our business

we we shouldn't really comment on it at

all to be honest because it's just it's

not within the sphere of our concern

this fear of our concern

is about china

having the right to self-determination

that is what is within this fear of our

concern it's about china you know

not

having to deal with our rotten

government

breathing down their necks right that's

what concerns us

is what concerns us right

uh and the same thing is true as far as

russia is concerned all we can really do

is have an impersonal

impersonal analysis my personal analysis

is you know i think reunification is

going to happen i don't know when and

now i am infamously possessed of the

track of a of a pretty bad track record

when it comes to predicting what's going

to happen with china it could be the 4th

to the 7th sometime then

that drill could be a real

reunification process

i'm hearing reports that it's going to

happen in the spring

of next year

it's beyond me right but we've got to

prepare for when that does happen

because that's when you're going to get

you know the drums of war to be beaten

uh on our part to go to war with china

that's where you're going to start

seeing our politicians tell us we need

to go to war with china we need to go

and attack china

moreover i also want to point something

out

it's just my comment this is you know

i'm not an expert so i might sound like

a dumbass i might sound like a dumbass

here

it's just me personally i just feel like

if hypothetically pelosi was flying over

taiwan

and then

right i just feel like

that would have been very beneficial to

china

because the

i i think i think a war between or a

confrontation between the us and china

militarily is inevitable but if the

pretext for that confrontation

was nancy pelosi's very partisan

and very unpopular

and very scandalous encroachment

on china

i think it would easily divide u.s

public opinion on war what i'm worried

about is that the next time

there's a confrontation between the u.s

and china

it's going to go across partisan lines

and trump's going to be on board with it

and baga will be on board with it and

the democrats will be on war with it

and ladies and gentlemen

you know that is gonna be a nightmare

for us that's gonna be a huge fucking

nightmare for us

that's gonna be a big i mean that's

going to set us back by a long time for

us at least it's also going to

significantly

you know be probably be a problem for

china as well because china's going to

be dealing with a united

uh you know consensus for war there's

it's not going to be able to reach out

to allies within the united states

so i i personally think this would have

been if if a confrontation is inevitable

and i do think it is inevitable

i think this probably would have been

for china youtube i'm not for me i'm

neutral for china this would have been a

better pretext

you know i don't think the u.s public

is overwhelmingly pro

pelosi i think that polo i think you

know the sentiment here was like oh take

her you know

we don't like pelosi you can have her

china you know make sure she doesn't

come back

so yeah

i i i personally think that this could

have been a missed opportunity for china

um and again i know that the

reunification process might happen the

fourth to the seventh

but that's not the same thing as a

confrontation with the us now because

let me tell you why right

when china does reunify with taiwan

which on their timetable they're that's

in decades right that's a decades

timetable i mean i think they're

planning on doing that

2030 or something it's definitely not

as soon as as some people are predicting

now as a result of

this visit

but um

the pretext for us intervention is we

gotta go protect asia's democracy

we've gotta go protect taiwan now among

the boomers

they have not succeeded in manufacturing

consent for taiwan

but among the youth they have for

millennials

and gen z i think they have

very overwhelmingly manufactured consent

for a war with china they've been doing

it for probably a decade now

and they used reddit to do it

now when reddit was first like taking

off

the first people to um

actively used reddit the most

consistently

was the united states military

reddits i'm sure you guys know this is

the most traffic that ever came to

reddit

was in an air base that that where it

was it was um

triangulated to be an air base that that

was where the most heavy traffic

of of reddit activity was coming from

around 2014

so a decade later

they have built

overwhelming consensus against china

the first way they got the youth to get

against china is that they said oh china

hates video games china's against video

games

um china's you know sen china censors

people for having fun

china hates everything that you like

you know china's um

corporations support china so if you're

anti-corporation

it's cool and rebellious and edgy

to be anti-china right so they use this

really false

and deceptive way of building consensus

against china

again these this was the rand

corporation

and the us military

that was primarily involved in building

the consensus against china

uh if not if not exclusively

to be honest i don't see what other

intentional actors were doing this

so they've done that they've they've you

know they've

propped up china as a symbol of kind of

patriarchal authority you know that

prohibitive authority

trying to crack down in your enjoyment

time frame is 2049 also coinciding with

a return to the intermediate stage of

socialism in the mainland this is the

cpc line thank you so much chris

great stream as always quick question

why do you dislike abby martin's thank

you so much venezuelan patriot thank you

chris morlock

i dislike abby martin because when

russia

retook crimea

she went live on air to denounce russia

and i didn't know that at first

and that made me really despise her

another reason i despise abby martin

is

she's part of that kind of social

democrat contingent

um of leftists who are basically

indistinguishable from the globalists

beyond besides the fact that they you

know they pay lip service to

anti-imperialism

mostly as an extension actually of that

same kind of those same globalist values

so it's not really enough for me for

someone to express an anti-imperialist

sentiment

i need to know the underlying values

that are informing that if those values

are ultimately coming from you they're

the same globalist values just applied

differently

it's telling me you're not actually an

anti-imperialist objectively you are

pro-imperialism right

uh another reason is that

she um

she has

to the extent of my knowledge spoken out

against us

or being patriotic right this whole

fucking debate about patriotism

and she took the side of the kind of you

know

institutional left against us

on that question

she's also just a leftist she's one of

those you know trump derangement

syndrome

leftists and ben ben norton has the same

issue right these are just basically

leftists who you know

they they they somehow think that the

democrats are more you know

anti-imperialist than the republicans

they

they have it's it's really about the

class position you know they really

despise the american worker they they

like the latte

sipping you know urbanite and the um you

know the trendy kind of hipster and shit

because those are the people that listen

to them right they despise the working

class and the uh you know

the working people so that is really

the reason for why and it's also

it's also why i never liked hakeem but

that's not why i think

hakeem was worthy of of

going after i started to go after hakeem

because he went after me first right

thank you so much chris morlock abby

martin is just a spokesperson for psl

just a news reader the beckers run the

show

ah

yeah i see yeah that's why

she's also against the special military

operation i mean there you go she's

pretty much just a lib in my eyes

and and before people say well haas

she's also anti-imperialist

if you're an anti-imperialist lib

you're doing more harm to the

anti-imperialist movement

then otherwise

i don't mind when leftists when lib

leftists are pro-imperialism i welcome

that why because those are some of the

most unpopular people in this country

when blue-haired sjw leftists are

pro-nato and pro-imperialist

all we have to do is show the working

class yeah look at these people they

make the case for us right

actually when people like abby martin

and and and to an extent ben norton

when they are anti-imperialist it does

more harm to us than not

because it associates anti-imperialism

with being an anti-popular lib shit and

a condescending you know elitist who

hates the working class

the i i think the worst people

are the

this is why i i'm so opposed to hakeem

by the way

like luna oy and hakeem who are thank

you so much left palestine palestine

elon musk latin america baristas

palestine

there you go knox said

there you go

very true

yeah

listen

the most i think one of the most

dangerous contingents

are people who proclaim to be

anti-imperialist

but are also severely anti-populist

why because they're associating the

anti-imperialist position

with an anti-populist position that is

not good if you want anti-imperialism to

win

okay

those people do way more harm to us than

vosh does

or you know the rest of the

is a different story i guess because

apparently he he converts conservatives

but it's interesting he just converts

the ones who have repressed

um

sexual desires that they want

get out

uh all the neo-nazis that people like

vos went over are just people who like

you know they have some repressed sexual

tendencies that their ideology doesn't

permit them to openly display so they

they preserve all of the hatred they

preserve all of the sickness and evil

of their neo-nazism but now they just

get to wear

dresses and they get to be femme boys

and

um you know maybe they're trans or

something and that's the only real

difference right

there's still just as much vicious

racist scum though

that's that's also true

but um

no hakeem is not just hakeem i know i

joke a lot about hakeem but a lot of

people don't know the crucial context

about why i'm so severely opposed to

hakeem

and there's a long history to it

but to sum it up hakeem

openly came out against

you know quote unquote

we're not pat socks anymore right we

have we're mecca tankies now

but at the time when we were being

associated with pat socks he came out

against us

uh on luna oil's podcast he said oh you

can't be patriotic

and

he's in general just such a snake

he's such a snake because

he tries to get along with everyone and

then when it when he saw that we were

like not that popular anymore

he thought it was safe to start

attacking us so that's why he's a snake

but yeah i mean

you have to be careful which

anti-imperialists

you guys are watching

uh i mean you watch whoever you want but

you have to be careful with these people

because a lot of them are are globalists

in disguise a lot of them pretend to be

anti-imperialists

you know

just just as an extension of see

you gotta you gotta put it in these

terms right sometimes

holy fuck

derp with the 50. thank you so much man

holy shit

thank you derp

appreciate you so much

yeah you guys got to be careful because

a lot of the time what ends up happening

is that

samira wants to come on

okay get in show you i'll bring you on

some soon

um a lot of times what ends up happening

is that

you know

the main thing if the main thing you're

concerned with is imperialism

then your main goal should be being a

populist right

so the anti-populist anti-imperialists

they're they use anti-imperialism as a

cuddle and as an extension of their

class war against the working class of

their own country

not because the working class is

pro-imperialist

but because the working class is

uneducated about imperialism so they use

their education

about imperialism

as a form of class warfare against the

working class basically scolding them

for not being educated enough

so that's the issue all of these

anti-populist anti-imperialists

are basically engaged in a form of class

warfare by distinguishing themselves

from the working class through education

condemning the working class

on ideological and educational lines

and and they just use anti-imperialism

as an extension of that the slip service

they have to anti-imperialism as an

extension to that you know oh they're

educated on imperialism

well if you're actually an

anti-imperialist your goal should be to

educate as much people as you can

and reach as much people as you can

to be opposed to imperialism right

well no that's not what these people are

interested in all they're interested in

doing is preserving you know their

specific

you know

form of of exclusionary educational you

know distinction

and that's the issue we're dealing with

here that's the main issue

now samira's gonna come on and briefly

talk about these journalists we do have

to move on to the uh coverage of the

chinese

live fire drills so go ahead samir

go ahead

um

circle so when you mentioned

wait wait wait stop stop no one can hear

you

hello can you hear me now

output

speak

speak

fuck

peak

fuck

output

based

speak if you're american and your

primary face isn't building

yeah

and then your anti-imperialism is moot

what was exactly classified

got it exactly right go ahead samira

repeat it from the scratch

okay so the reason why i wanted to come

on is because as you know

um i was

in that circle of bisol journalists you

know that that

so-called anti-imperialist

journalist circle um so when you

mentioned abby martin ben norton i do

have some

insight on them

um

they define imperialism as you know not

ben norton but you know the other one

uh big country versus small country and

i believe that we showed one of her

videos on stream a couple of months ago

where she said thank you so much roxoff

china has a history of what my

grandfather was final warning they did

this a bunch of time along the ussr

border in the 60s eventually they do

respond but it's in their time scale not

ours that's interesting i didn't

thank you destiny's crack dealer

well rock soft is saying that

they have something called a final

warning

where eventually they do respond but

it's on their time skill not ours

yeah someone was explaining that to me

um in my twitter space this morning and

that made a lot of sense and it's not

like they're they want to respond to the

us they're trying to respond to taiwan

if that makes any sense

yeah it's definitely not what i

predicted thank you so much

get rattled mouse to support

very true thank you so much yang you

appreciate you appreciate you so much

but

yeah i don't really um have much contact

with them anymore but i mean we've

discussed this a lot

but have you noticed how you know abby

martin hasn't said anything about taiwan

and the perspective she has is that

um

the u.s should stop intervening in other

countries so that's

anti-interventionism right that's not

anti-imperialism

and they're

david versus goliath world view

um she even said before she said that i

reflexively defend countries that have

been bullied by the us or something

along those lines paraphrasing here

so that's why they focus excessively on

latin america and palestine

um

and what else you know syria

anti-interventionism plays a role there

um and then also as far as palestine

goes i don't know if your audience knows

of the

liberal progressive conservative zionism

split and how

progressive zionists are now working

closer with the democratic party and

progressives in particular

um i mean j street if you've heard of it

they're actually in competition so a lot

of the narratives that we heard when

netanyahu was in power

um that wasn't out of support for

palestinians or anything or a

palestinian state

it was based on

progressive zionist hatred for their

opposition

and you could even

i don't know like what do you think

well we've got to focus on the uh the

lives

fire drills

at china's planning from the fourth to

the seventh

and all the full breadth of the

implications

as far as those are concerned because

this is a rapidly developing story

and

what do we know about it so far aside

from you know the schedule so now cnn is

saying

that

this is going to be

as pelosi visit so let me uh pull up

my source here

oh he's supposed to leave soon right

like tomorrow

well here is what cnn is saying cnn is

now saying

china is going to hold live ammunition

military drills around taiwan as pelosi

visits

so within minutes of house speakers

landing in taiwan

china said it would immediately begin a

series of joint military operations

around the island including using

long-range ammunition

a taiwan straight now i think this

language is deliberately ambiguous

because

by operations do they just mean drills

or do they actually mean

a you know an application an operation

that is going to change the political

status quo

you know forcibly overthrowing the

current taiwanese government or at least

you know

um

uh basically reunification is that what

they mean or do they just mean the

operation is just going to be like a a

an exercise or a test

um so the people's liberation army

eastern command said that beginning

tuesday night a series of exercises

would be held on the sea and in the air

surrounding taiwan

self-governing island that china says is

itself

is its sovereign territory

thank you so much

the more i reflect the more i'm

convinced britain is our true arch enemy

exactly when everything because if

they're starting you're right cece thank

you so much for the donor appreciate you

so if they're starting right around that

time then that could give you an

indication as to what they're planning

to do

and what they're what they mean so so

this was military operations so this was

after pelosi's visit and and the quote

here is this action is a solemn

deterrent against the recent major

escalation

of the negative actions of the united

states on the taiwan issue

and a serious warning to the taiwan

independence forces seeking independence

so it seems like this is a warning that

they're engaged in they're not actually

engaged

in a an act of retaliation

they're engaged in yet another warning

uh to the united states and to

taiwan separatist forces so it sounds to

me like this is not going to culminate

in reunification

i don't think so either um china

is known to give many

warnings before they actually take

concrete

action

um and unlike russia they don't announce

everything in a grand style you know

what i mean

so the the live fire exercises will

begin we'll we'll start from thursday

through sunday so that's the fourth

through the seventh

um you know in the u.s air force plane

carrying pelosi

that was though it wasn't a private

plane it was actually a us air force

plane

and china didn't specify what exercises

would entail or what units would be

involved

i think u.s intelligence would have

already intercepted

the exact details of of what this is

going to be to be honest

so i am kind of skeptical

maybe i i mean maybe i'll be wrong again

but this time

at least me being wrong in this case

isn't going to you know involve chyna

losing face i guess

the pla has been active with exercises

around the region in the days leading up

to pelosi's visit

so

yeah i could not have expected exercises

to be the response

uh to these

to this provocation is going to do

something

they're not going to announce it to the

world okay

it doesn't matter because the us would

be able to it does

the us will be emboldened by this yes

100

and already there's a bill by menendez

out that would actually reverse the us

stance on you know one china yeah but

the us would already intercept

uh

when china does have the intention to do

anything

most certainly so

did they

have the intel um before the russian

intervention because supposedly yes

actually yes but it came out afterwards

that they purposely put that information

out to deter russia

yeah but they still were necessarily

true they were still observing movements

and you know they were observing

a build up and things like that

yeah and they also admitted they

released a lot of um inaccurate

information on purpose yeah xiangyu you

are welcome to come on you are welcome

yeah

just go on the show queue and i'll drag

you up

so the u.s supplies taiwan with

defensive weaponry under the terms of

the decades-old taiwan relations act

but it remains deliberately vague

on whether it would defend taiwan in the

event of a chinese invasion a policy

known as strategic ambiguity

china has every right to defend its

sovereignty and territorial integrity

we're fully justified to do what we must

uh

so you you have to read between the

lines here because there's kind of

conflicting

language being used

the current situation is created purely

by the u.s side

so it has to bear the responsibilities

in other words

the u.s is going to have to bear the

consequences of what happens now what is

going to happen right

um

the incursions were made by 10 j-16

fighter jets

eight j11 fighter jets

one y9 electronic warfare aircraft

one y8 electronic intelligence aircraft

so all of these engaged in incursions in

taiwanese airspace which is actually a

joke

you guys want to look at the map of what

uh the republic of china considers its

airspace it's kind of funny

um

it encroaches upon china's own territory

this is like funny right i mean this

this is what

the

ruling

government of the taiwan region

claims is it's

this this literally is inc this is part

of the mainland it considers this its

airspace

come on

or maybe i'm reading this wrong

there's also one thing that you're

forgetting the

u.s war on china primarily is economic

military

is second

unlikely in response the taiwanese

military issued radio warnings and

deplored air defense missile systems to

monitor the activities

china frequently sends warplanes into

taiwan self-declared adiz

so this is not necessarily anything new

this is not necessarily a new

development okay so xiangyu

is someone who's living in i don't know

if they're living there now but

they live in taiwan they live in the

taiwan region and they have a pretty

good

they have very good knowledge of you

know

the local politics of taiwan and and the

broader context there so he's going to

talk to us about the report

read your chat

hey um can you guys hear me yes

how's it going

great

so um i think the broader imagery it's

um these few days i mean these few days

will be beginning of like a long

elongated process

but um right now i think it's really

important to understand the dpp strategy

and how it's compatible with democrats

like this time why is nancy pelosi

wanted one nancy pelosi is the lead

uh was the lead fundraiser for the

democratic party and midterm elections

are coming up

you're kind of cutting out a little bit

is there oh really yeah just a little

bit

uh what about now

it's a lot better

okay

um so the dpp strategy is to um because

tying one was elected in 2016 but her

party has

like little to little successes

especially economically and you know and

the way these things work is if the

economic if the economy is bad the

people are not you're going to lose the

support of the people

but all it has going for it

economically right now is

tsmc

but the problem is the u.s

is investing a hundred billion in

semiconductor manufacturing i mean and

chip and chip fat technology and

mainland china is investing 52 billion

so between like total 152 billion tsmc's

capabilities are going to be surpassed

so they're already preparing for like a

recession coming up and they need to

keep the people happy so the dpp

strategy is

to

kind of

build this sort of artificial taiwanese

identity and make people feel good about

being taiwanese and proud of being

taiwanese by increasing its visibility

on the international stage

which um it's bullshit because back in

the days like in the 1980s 1990s the

pride of being taiwanese and this was

back when most taiwanese people consider

themselves chinese

um the pride of it was

we had a vibrant economy and it was

built up as like a model province for a

reunified china one day

but um that's that's that's gone so you

don't have that anymore so now you're

just circle jerking and tying wins

always um

she's formed a lot of partnerships with

a lot of local like um influencers and

youtubers so it creates this sort of

echo chamber among the taiwanese people

the youth really most people on the

ground they're kind of indifferent but

um

it's like the baidu and taiwan are like

the ideological foot soldiers of the

taiwan regime and this is very important

because they're doing the same stuff

right now in america with like what's

basically like domestic color revolution

light

they're going to be the foot soldiers of

fascism when when the time comes in

america mark my words on that like what

this pisses a lot of people off when i

say it but it's true

and um

the mainland china's response is to let

the people know that hey

you're playing with fire and

we need to have a response and you need

to know that

the the the um the myth that oh

on the mainland china is not going to

attack taiwan then the u.s is going to

protect them that needs to go away

and um but right now the dpp is also

like censoring the media like cti one of

the most like pro china um news news

channels in taiwan lost its broadcasting

license

and opposing voices are basically just

kind of presented as like

fringe and crazy so

yeah recession 2024 the next leader of

taiwan will likely be the current vice

leader um laichingto or his name william

lai

and um

when he comes

yeah

yeah so uh quickly

um i believe that dpp politicians are

trying to make connections with the

american cpc as in the congressional

progressive caucus

uh they met with uh ilhan omar and uh

corey bush i believe a few months ago so

uh they're trying to establish those

connections which i find interesting

that they're not going for the liberal

establishment but um the cpc

definitely it's

it's very planned because over there

right now ever since um so 2014 there

was a maidan um

color revolution in ukraine

that same year there was also the

sunflower movement in taiwan which was

basically it marks the year that um

because the back then the incumbent

party was the kmt and they were in the

process of signing this trade agreement

with the mainland china that would

integrate the two economies further

and then that there was a sort of local

like color revolution it didn't oust the

kmt government but it

it um emboldened the um the dpp and it

gave rise to a bunch of smaller parties

that like orbit the dpp but it's kind of

like it's kind of like how um the squad

and the in the democratic party how they

like pretend to be like

anti-establishment but are really part

of the establishment it's that sort of

deal and that's when the dpp got its

woke makeover

and because it used to be see the dvp

like in the from like 2000 to 2008 was

seen as like more or less like the

redneck party

so

yeah it's part of a grand it's part of a

grander strategy and part of a greater

like imperialist project

and that's why she's um doing that it

aligns with nancy pelosi's fundraising

and they need to keep

and they're tricking the people the

youth especially into believing that

they can keep on stepping on mainland

china's red lines keep on poking like

poking it in the eye hitting it and that

the us will come and save it but

u.s um

fleets can only go up to a thousand

nautical miles of range within china

before the pla's allowed to blow them up

um

per international law

now the missiles only go 800 so you see

the problem there

yeah and there's also uh

i saw paul cockshot um put this out he

said that china manufactures 1 000 ships

per year compared to the us's

100.

so

just in terms of being able to replenish

its support you know naval

uh fleets china has a very

very big advantage

yep

um

other news in terms of the economic

sanctions side of this is concerned

is that china is actually banning

the export of sand to taiwan

which is critical for its semiconductor

production

so that's pretty sad i mean where is ty

where is taiwan going to get its sand

from

probably going to have to get it from a

much more incon

um

place i guess

won't the us just find a replacement

yeah but it's gonna be instead of being

you know 100 miles away it's going to be

harder to access and there's also bans

on the imports of frozen fish

and citrus fruit right so i guess the

price of fruit is going up

in taiwan i don't know citrus fruit

have you mentioned that the

you know semiconductor

aspect is also part of the tech war

between yeah i talked about all the us

in charge

okay so

there's another thing too that there's

another angle that i have not

reported on

in particular

but

so there's a chinese um

[Music]

let me just show you who they are right

i'll just show you

their profile

their name is who

yeah that's exactly

it um i don't know how to pronounce

correctly so

but

they are now um

where are they their accounts seems to

be

accessible

here they are okay they have a blue

check

and as you see they have this

label china state affiliated media okay

now

jijin is that how you say it

okay yeah ushi jin

has

kind of apparently this is what ezra is

saying

he's saying that on chinese social media

there is a lot of anger

towards this is what he told me

him

because he has significantly um

raised people's expectations

as far as what china's response is going

to be right

so

he's saying that he's he's pissing off

people in china because you know he's

getting tough

and it's hurting the image of the

chinese government not only

internationally to us but even

domestically

because he's like setting the

expectations for us internationally with

his tweets

so yeah he said you know they're gonna

formulate a series of counter measures

including military actions

um you know

he mentioned

you mentioned a lot of other things

yeah this is probably the one that is

the most controversial right

uh the pla announced it would conduct

live fire exercises in six regions

surrounding taiwan island

a situation that has surpassed the 1996

taiwan strait crisis

now he's saying this is not just a

demonstration but an actual exercise to

liberate taiwan

pelosi's visit is bound to speed up

china's unification

now i'm not sure if that's true i'm not

sure if that's accurate but if it's true

i mean that would be a really severe

response right but apparently he's being

disliked on chinese social media because

he's saying all these things right

so if you want to look at a map

sorry i don't think it's going to happen

like not in not in this year i think if

the soonest

reunification will happen we'll be

towards the end of this decade at least

after 2024 2025.

yeah i've i've heard a lot of

conflicting things i've heard people

tell me it's gonna be

you know in um

the spring of next year but i have no

idea right

so

yeah i mean you're probably right who

knows so world world war three is

trending i don't know why that's still

trending

maybe there's some breaking news so

we're gonna cover that if there's any

the pla has announced six exercises

around the taiwan island

the closest being only get this guys

nine nautical miles from the island

and the waterways of taiwan's main ports

will be blocked during the drills

this is what pelosi's visit has brought

to taiwan so these are the areas in

which they're going to be conducting

these drills

basically surrounding taiwan there's

been some speculation that these drills

are actually going to be a pretext for

unification

xiangyu does not believe that and he

seems pretty credible because are you

there right now or you just live there

mostly

look they're mostly i'm not there right

now but yeah well he's from there and

he's very familiar

with the area so

you know i i think what he says is

credible he doesn't think that it's

going to be that

it could be wrong it could happen like

you know in like this month

yeah i mean at this point who knows

right there's a lot of so many things

i don't know um

yeah so we can't make a prediction based

on shit we don't know

yeah

um check your dms i sent something

that's relevant to the conversation

okay so asb you guys remember asb if you

were on twitch

you are going to be very familiar with

my use of this specific telegram channel

um

but look at this china suspends sand

exports

the us is ready to block china's access

to advanced chip design software also

known as eda software or electronic

design automation software

i'm not sure how they would go about

doing something like that

be completely honest

the us does not want a crisis in

relation with china and does not intend

to saber rattle that's according to the

white house

so there's also another source that i

need to grab access to

it's

this is a really good source

there it is

okay

so

all right

so as you can see here

according to this source

the chinese air force's fifth generation

fighters are involved in the long long

scale

exercises

and chinese missiles apparently are

going to fly over taiwan

during the exercises now xiaomi do you

think that would be enough

to provoke a crisis i mean if

if mainland missiles are flying over the

island what do you think

they've flown over before like the 1996

crisis so i don't know but that was a

crisis right in 96 it did provoke a big

um

something that was close to a

confrontation right

in hindsight not really i mean the um

there were no warheads on those missiles

but that could be different this time i

really don't know i don't want to say

anything that i'm not like too sure

about to be honest yeah well guys look

at what the u.n is saying the office of

the secretary general

says that the u.n adheres to the policy

of one china

um

you know unanimously condemning

any attempts or provocations of

separatism

so here's what the taiwanese defense

ministry is saying right they're saying

that the pla's upcoming exercises were

are an attempt at

intimidation so they are not expecting

this to be a reunification process

they are expecting this to just be an

attempt in their words an attempt at

intimidation

send a message

so these were some of the first results

of the

landing

so according to this source for russia

this development of the plot is ideal

because without china it would not be

easy to hybridize against the west

and the extremely ambitious xi the head

of a billion wrong disciplined patriotic

population will never forgive this

insult and the best form of response is

not to get involved in a direct clash

to harm

them where it will be especially

noticeable

of course this primarily concerns

the increase in assistance in russia in

terms of circumventing western sanctions

so there's some details here that i have

not really discussed with that much

detail

the first detail

sorry the first thing is that china

still has significant access

to you know

the european

and the uh

the american market

significant access

and that access is is also access

indirect access

for russia right

so if china were to engage in a

full-scale you know confrontation now

that would not particularly be wise

or sorry that would not particularly be

beneficial for russia because

you know it would it would i further

isolate russia from being able to have

any footholding or access

you know or um

pipeline i guess to uh american and even

european markets

in other words china's on more friendly

terms

with the west than russia is right now

and it's not

way more friendly terms but it's just

not it has not been isolated in the same

way russia has

so that that might be a factor in this

as well right

um

could i add another um fun fact that

people might not be aware of

sorry

could i add another fact that people

might not be sure sure go ahead

so um the army is basically the one

place where the dpp has like little

influence um the chief of general staff

right now is um

who's from one of those offshore islands

that are like you know right next to the

mainland like on the other side of

taiwan straight

and he began his army service in like

the night in like 1980

these people are ideologically like

chinese patriots who hate taiwan

separatism

that might be a problem i'm just saying

yeah i think so i i think so that's i'm

also aware of that as as well

so yeah this is the response to

pelosi visiting

british mps are also scheduled to visit

taiwan according to the guardian uh i

sent you an article about it through dm

what would the response be then or are

they not as worried about the uk as they

are

the us

uh sean you do you think you'd be able

to answer that so i have the source

right here is that apparently british

mps

plan on uh visiting taiwan

as well

that's that's according to this so

britain's hi of course they have to get

on on this right britain's house of

commons foreign affairs committee

is planning a visit to taiwan later this

year probably in november or early

december despite rising tensions in the

region

sources say the trip which was

originally scheduled for early this year

but was postponed due to one member of

the delegation testing positive for

kovid

was intended to show britain's support

for the democratically run island

um i mean look this is just

you know this is really what you call

poking the beehive

um

i don't know what the response to that

is gonna be necessarily

yeah i don't know what the response will

be either but it's it is part of the dpp

strategy of you know like basically

buying more visibility from the

international community too so this is

something more relevant this is also

coming from toss and it's saying china

to finalize process of reunification

according to a top diplomat

so wang yi says that taiwan is part of

china and the implementation of national

reunification is a general trend and

historic

imminence

the chinese government will definitively

finalize the process

of reunification

now the question is when right that's

not being

the second screenshot i sent you um

should give you

some details the thing is you might get

an idea of what they plan to do china

from actual russian foreign ministry

statements or what their top diplomats

are saying because sometimes they

accidentally

let it out um

it's happened before so

they're not as careful with their words

as china is so sometimes

you can get an idea

well let me try to get a hold of that

screen

that one's citing a chinese diplomat

and

yeah i think

they say that we're committed to

reunification

through peaceful unif unification

however we don't give up the military

option the reason is that we need

sufficient control of potential

separatists

so here's here's my analysis here's my

analysis

uh so i don't know if you guys know this

but menendez is is that the one

proposing the bill in the u.s congress

yeah

so there's a really scary bill

being proposed in the u.s congress

to actually

upset the one china policy so there's a

menendez bill

that's going to be introduced to the us

congress

which would gut the one china policy

america's taiwan policy hasn't changed

much in the past 40 years

for many experts

that's a good

thing but senator bob menendez who's a

democrat

and lindsey graham a republican wow

it looks like when it comes to um you

know bringing us into world war three

the two parties seem to work together

quite fine right when it comes to you

know doing things that benefit americans

oh especially related to china

they aren't satisfied with the status

quo

and the pair introduced a bill known as

the taiwan policy act of 2022 which

they're touting as the most

comprehensive restructuring of u.s

policy towards taiwan since 1979.

it would include increasing military

support for taiwan

um

harsh package of sanctions to be

applauded against it

oh it's a senate bill so there must be a

a house bill

that

compliments it

uh yeah no senators will vote against it

bernie sanders

will vote in favor and every other hold

on hold on uh some details the document

plays with words to seem as if no

fundamentals have changed

but they're saying one china is in

effect gutted

um they have not responded to requests

for comment about that

so why am i bringing this up because

when china's talking about

pro-separatist forces you know they're

not talking about some rag-tag group of

gorillas in the jungle

they're talking about bills such as this

one

which will significantly empower you

know

uh

taiwanese political forces to in their

formal capacity

you know attempt to declare independence

which is a real possibility and that is

going to be a guaranteed pretext

for the forcible unification through

military force

but pelosi's visit i don't think is

going to be enough for that doesn't look

like it right

if bills like this pass

and if that emboldens you know the

pro-independence forces

within taiwan that could very well

you know lead to that result

my assessment yeah go ahead sorry yeah

my assessment of this is that if that if

the bill passes it'll embolden the

separatist forces and when recession

hits in 2024 because um mainland china

and like u.s chip manufacturing um

capabilities will surpass tsmc in due

time when recession hits because the the

main area the main on destinations of

export are um mainland china and

that's like a fourth of the economy gone

so

the only thing left is to play this

further play this taiwanese identity

card and um in taiwan you can do

referendums on every odd year after the

next election if the current vice leader

um

um is elected he is known as the more

hard-line separatist in the party tying

when believe it or not is the level is

the level-headed moderate

so that's things are pretty fucked

if he has if he goes in there's

recession people are pissed off at him

only card he has left would be a

independence referendum because

nancy pelosi visited once you're not

gonna it's not gonna be exciting the

next time you get some sort of high

level official to visit unless you get

like the president to visit and that's i

don't know if that's gonna happen

and if the emboldenment goes on and

people

still hold hang on to the fantasy that

the u.s will come in and protect um

taiwan and that the um the mainland will

not launch an attack

then yeah he might pass the bill just to

for his own power and then when shit

hits the fan he's just gonna escape

that's that's one thing to think about

so

there's some live news here and then

look at this the gop i'm sure this is

coming from their their um

their electorate right because oh wow

pelosi is so popular and this decision

to just go to war with china over taiwan

so popular but the gop is offering rare

praise of speaker as china lashes out

wow

looks like the the the the two parties

are united when it comes to fucking us

over

you know why

pelosi right

because because trump went against her

so they're trying to change public

opinion

by praising pelosi it's like a desantis

trump split if you will

tensions are high across the region as

the plane carrying the us house of

representative speaker nancy pelosi

touched down in taiwan on tuesday with

chinese warplanes flying close to the

medium line

chinese warships and aircrafts squeezed

on the medium line so let's see what

these um gop

leaders have been saying

so 18 minutes ago

psy

the president of taiwan thanks pelosi

and says taiwan will not back down

wow look at this these are women in

power this is a by the way guys i don't

know if you guys know this but this is

apparently a woman's issue

um and it's about how these two women

are united

um against the men trying to um stop

them

apparently that's what

a lot of people have been saying on

news right

i thought taiwan's not a part of china

then how come sunyat sen from guangdong

province who's never been to taiwan is

in the background of that picture

yeah

uh taiwan has released increased its

military alertness level

you know as chong you said the military

is decidedly anti-separatist

so i'm sure they're not quite

content with pelosi's visit

and now pelosi is explaining why she

gambled on the trip

as she landed in

taipei

uh the washington post published an

op-ed by pelosi in which she said

a visit should be seen as an unequivocal

statement that america stands with

taiwan our democratic partner

as it defends itself and its freedom now

this to me appears like unequivocal

pro-separatist rhetoric if there's one

china

then what is taiwan

is taiwan a country is it its own

country

is it somehow outside of china

if it's outside of china then the u.s is

committing itself to in its official

capacity

violating the invaluable sovereignty of

china and chinese territory

ms pelosi opened the opinion piece by

noting that taiwan relations act

was passed 43 years ago

calling it one of the most important

pillars of u.s foreign policy in the

asia pacific

the speaker wrote that the legislation

set out america's commitment

to a democratic taiwan

providing the framework for an economic

and developed diplomatic relationship

that would quickly first in a key

partnership

you cannot stand by as the ccp proceeds

to threaten taiwan and democracy itself

now i'm curious as to what democracy

they're talking about actually

are they talking about the democracy in

which the fbi has recently

tried to indict

people involved with the uhuru movement

just because they were supporting

reparations are they talking about the

democracy you know in which

american citizens are being labeled as

domestic terrorists over the uh january

six events the horrible january 6 events

as we know when americans

stormed

the capital and defiled the sacred

you know

symbol of american democracy by taking

pictures and partying and and you know

drinking beers and stuff

inside the capitol i mean what what a

horrible thing but that is quite a funny

democracy if you ask me

um well they say they're securing

democracy by censoring

alternative opinions and also

um cracking down on quote-unquote

domestic terrorism so that is literally

their definition of democracy they're

also arresting um people for um people

in like the chip manufacturing um sector

who are thinking about going to um the

mainland to work

yeah

oh i didn't know that that's interesting

yeah they're doing that so it's um and

tying one did pass a bunch of laws that

basically eroded a lot of the bourgeois

democracy that her party fought for in

the 1980s

so yeah we we keep hearing this rhetoric

about defending democracy but what does

that democracy actually amount to

it amounts to as an at the only

consistent thing really is um you know a

society

that opens itself to being raped and

pillaged by anglo-saxon financial

capitalists

there's no other consistent metric of

democracy it doesn't mean freedom of

speech

something that is a non-existent

principle in the even the united states

today this the beacon of democracy right

it also doesn't mean freedom of

association because as we know that's

that that amounts to kind of a dangerous

um coup

a dangerous insurrection right

it also doesn't amount you know

to um

freedom of elections

because some

some

uh you know some

elect uh uh uh uh electable

missiles are just not quite electable

enough

you know because they're too pro-russian

or they have russian ties or you know in

the case of bernie sanders in 2016 the

democratic party is a private

organization that can choose who gets

primary and who doesn't

you know and additionally you know third

parties are obviously off the table for

for institutional reasons actually

so you know it's very interesting what

what's actually meant by democracy

um because i can't really figure out a

consistent definition of that and the

only consistent thing that i that i

managed to uh perceive when it comes to

what's defined as a democracy is does

this country allow itself to get raped

by anglo-saxon financial capitalism

i don't see another consistent metric of

what constitutes democracy i just don't

does this country allow itself to be

infiltrated and controlled by foreign

ngos and and you know

civil societies that are being funded by

unaccountable oligarchs and billionaires

and foreign governments um that's what

democracy means democracy means are you

gonna crack down on this front group i'm

gonna throw in your country to corrupt

the youth

and spread poison and filth and

degeneracy in your country uh are you

gonna crack down on my color revolutions

that i attempt to instigate to you know

circumvent the actual forms of

sovereignty that exist in your country

using the new information technology i

mean that really seems like what

democracy means today

right but and you know who um

implemented this type of democracy you

speak of in taiwan

oh yeah of course her um her her mentor

tywin spent her um li

who she worked under he was the one who

first liberalized the politics on but

the main but the um the real reason that

he did that was so taiwan could fully

become like economically liberal and

neo-liberal and that's when all this

stuff happened because before yeah it

was capitalist but it wasn't a liberal

sort of society there were still heavy

amounts of state planning and ngos and

stuff couldn't just like go in and do

whatever they wanted it was it was a

bonapartas dictatorship that was

developmentalist

yeah

but anyway uh samira and xiangyu thank

you guys so much for coming on really

appreciate your input

thanks for having us

thank you

take care uh check the article i just

sent in your dms that should be relevant

yeah for sure thank you guys for coming

on

bye

right

so

there is

some other details here you know why

even republicans

are supporting nancy pelosi's taiwan

trip closely arrived in taiwan for a

controversial visit on tuesday

while she was greeted by dignitaries and

crowds of waiting onlookers in taipei

her visit was prompted

both praise and controversy in the u.s

china and beyond

but 26 senate republicans so it's not

just a one-off

have voiced support for the house

speaker visit taiwan despite china's

warning that the trip would prompt

disastrous controversies now i want to

remind you guys

what trump has to say i mean maybe he

said something new i don't know

about this specific

issue but

so this was 15 hours ago

so trump rips

pelosi's trip

accusing her of always causing

trouble so he wrote this in his truth

social platform why is crazy nancy

pelosi in taiwan she's always causing

trouble nothing nothing she does turns

out well

watch

so this is what the sentiment trump is

is giving us

whereas the 26 senate republicans are

voicing their unequivocal support

for the house speakers you know

disastrous

attempt

uh you know so i mean it's just it's

really interesting

what we're witnessing it's it's

it almost seems like there's this severe

contradiction between

or i should rather say within the

republican party between trump and these

rhinos right

or i don't even know we can call him

republicans in name only i think

we should probably start calling trump

the outlier i think these are what

republicans are today right

uh for decades members of the u.s

congress including previous speakers of

the house have traveled to taiwan

this travel is consistent with the

united states as one china policy

which we are committed

you're also committed now more than ever

to all elements of the taiwan relations

act really all elements of that act

um

what does that act even entail in terms

of all of its elements right

so

i mean

yeah it's just it's very clear that

there's bipartisan consensus for this

and it may come as a surprise to some

but you know i don't know if you guys

are aware of this necessarily

but it's one big club and we're not in

it

we don't know why they want to go to

taiwan and fuck around we don't know why

the republicans want to do it and we

don't know why the democrats want to do

it

seems like they share a mutual interest

and it seems like that interest just so

happens to

coincidentally correspond to the

interests of our you know wall street

and city of london ruling class i don't

know you guys tell me

but it kind of seems like our government

is acting on behalf of the interests of

a select few

financial capitalists

rather than the american people i don't

know could

i'm not an expert after all i did get

this prediction wrong it just

seems to be the case now check this out

china warns airlines to avoid areas near

taiwan as tensions rise

us house speakers trip prompts china to

condemn visit china

designates danger zones for military

exercises wow china warned airlines

operating in asia to avoid flying in

areas around taiwan where it is

conducting military exercises in

response to the house speaker nancy

pelosi's visit of the island an official

note was sent

late on tuesday hong kong time

designating six areas of aerospace as

dangerous zones according to carriers

who received the message

so it looks like things are getting

serious is it gonna culminate in

reunification we don't necessarily know

uh but with that being said

i think it's time

to so

just to be full disclosure for our many

viewers here

um

this is gonna wrap up the segment

covering

the situation we're gonna be keeping a

close eye on this every single day

tomorrow especially probably for much

longer than we did today

um especially in anticipation for those

live fire drills which we want to do

follow and track and see the

implications of but as of now i think

it's pretty clear that china is not

going to war with the united states over

this despite this outright violation of

its sovereignty now i can make a lot of

excuses for my failed prediction

it could be that i took the word

some you know journalists

on twitter we're from china

a bit too seriously

um it could be other things

but

it you know it'd also be that i uh read

too much into it

in terms of drawing the connections

between

china's territory and pelosi is coming

with even though she has been expressly

warned not to and that's an involvable

violation of china's you know

sovereignty but in any case

um this is the situation as it stands

now

there is more because i do have a

patreon i have a patreon in which every

week

the goal

is to basically respond to the questions

of patrons in a q a

and this q a

this q a is exclusively reserved for

patrons

in terms of their ability to ask

the questions however we did do a

referendum in which patrons

have agreed that you know

we can have the podcast

um

public we can we can like you know

we can have people listen to the podcast

publicly so that's good right

so you guys will be able to listen to

the podcast which is just going to be me

answering questions by patrons

and that's going to wrap up tonight's

segment okay

um

social democrat has

you know i i i thought about not reading

that fucking stupid chat comment but

like

but you know i'm actually curious like

please

what what is that what is

what connection can you draw what is

what is that what does that fucking mean

right

what i mean how

based on what

based on what

i'm just curious right

all right anyway let's get right into

this

let's actually get into this

and i'm gonna just show this on stream

so four percent did not want the

questions to be answered on the youtube

streams

see

okay

all right here we are

here we are so the patron you can find

the link to it

in

the um

description

yikes

fuck

yikes

oh my god fuck

fuck fuck fuck

i'm so sorry guys i've been i was

looking for some other shit

oh my god i didn't i didn't fucking know

that it was uh showing i didn't know it

was showing

fuck i didn't fuck fuck

fuck

i really didn't know it was showing

i i cuz i i don't check my patreon uh i

don't check it often

so i was just checking it to see like

how it was doing because i really don't

check it

and

i

fuck

you guys want me to delete the vod for

that i mean does the is the email thing

a big problem or

did i delete the vod i don't know what

the protocol is should i delete the

vaude okay

so end the vod right now and delete it

because i i want to do the podcast right

now i want to do the patreon podcast

right now

i want to do the patreon podcast right

so you want me to end the vod private

and

okay

well because i'm gonna be showing

i don't know what the fuck this is i

don't even know what happened

i don't even fucking know

oh

what a fucking disaster what a literal

fucking disaster

oh

i just i don't know i'm fucking nervous

right now because it's like is it i'm

fucking stunt because like isn't it too

late

isn't it too late do i have to private

it i think it's too late guys

i think it's too fucking late okay

private and edit it out

i think it's too late to do that though

it's too fucking late to do that

i i can edit it after the vod ends

private and blurred out

if i'm gonna private the video i may as

well fucking delete it and just edit it

and re-upload it because it's gonna lose

all the views so if that's what you want

me to do i'll just

completely delete it right

and do we wanna do the patreon podcast

anymore like tell me okay let's do a

poll can we just do a poll let's just do

a fucking poll because i really don't

know what the fuck to do right now right

i don't know how much of a big deal

emails are i'm not familiar with

internet culture like emails are a super

big deal

like i don't fucking know right

but

can we do let me get a poll going i'm

gonna get a fucking poll so if you guys

want me

to

do the podcast

and pull

do a new poll

do

end stream and delete

yes

no or let's just do um

continue and do podcast

or delete

private and edit

do podcast

alright go ahead guys

yeah but the the first and last name

thing the problem with that is that like

i was also showing the the podcast

comments as well which i think also have

people's names

like

the reason i'm kind of like hesitant is

like do people use patreon

like as like a full public thing i don't

fucking know i mean

i i'm just gonna fucking do the podcast

i'm gonna edit it out one thousand

percent

but i'm still just gonna do the fucking

podcast all right i'm just gonna do the

fucking podcast

okay

and then if if if something bad happens

to the email people i'll compensate each

person

with

250

okay if something bad is that fair do

you think that's fair

or i'll i'll i'll refund all of the

patreon money they've ever given me

and i will give them more for damages if

anything happens just from their email

being leaked like i'll take full

responsibility for it and i'll pay for

damages whatever happens

and i'll just like deal with it okay

um

and i'm still gonna edit it out when the

vod's over but

i think i i think we have to do this

podcast we have to this fucking

podcast but okay

all right so we're just gonna go ahead

and go through with the podcast

it had their names i'm gonna go back to

it and read it because i know i don't

think it was that bad at all i really

don't all right so what was shown

no there was no

actually i don't fucking know

yeah apparently they're i don't fucking

i think these are all fake though

fuck me man fuck me

all right you know what

i'm gonna end the stream i'm gonna

private this

edit it out

and i'm just going to do the podcast and

upload it to the patreon

okay

which is really disappointing it's my

bad guys sorry for my mistake i'm going

to edit this and um

it's going to take a long time by the

way

so just so you guys are aware

this

pod will not be available for like two

days because youtube takes

literally like 30 hours to fucking to

re-edit anything

so just just so i'm hope you guys are

fine with that everybody who missed the

vod

is not going to be able to

watch it i may as well just fucking

delete it right

you know what here's what i'll do here's

what i'll do

i'm gonna keep it up

i'm gonna keep it up and i'm gonna do

the patreon podcast

and if the people affected tell me to

take it down i'll take it down how about

that

that's what i'm gonna fucking do if they

tell me to take it down i'm gonna take

it down because i just don't feel like

that's fair

i don't feel like that's fair

this is breaking news and this shit is

gonna only reach people in 30 hours

right so i'm just gonna keep it

but if people dm me

contact me or comment tell mods for me

to

take it down i'll take it down in the

meantime i'm editing it anyway for the

future right

but yeah

but um let's do the patreon podcast

right now let's just do it right now

okay

let's just do it right now

my bad guys i really don't check my

patreon i don't fucking check it so i

was i was literally checking it on

stream

just to see what's how it's doing

and

i've not been

all right let's go through with this

okay tyler thank you so much for being a

patron thank you so much for being a

patron

uh if the questions are credited it's

not me who's a fucking drama queen it's

the chat

i personally don't think it's the end of

the world but chat freaks me out

sometimes the way chat responds

sometimes it does fucking have me shook

it's like why are you fucking freaking

out

so yeah the way chat fucking acts

sometimes does have me shook

because people freak out and shit you

know

if the question are credited to the

askers i have zero issues with being

streamed

um

what are your thoughts on saddam hussein

that's from stalinism thank you so much

stalinism for being a patron

my thoughts on saddam hussein are

um

i i think that's ultimately something

to be decided by the iraqi people

themselves

and why am i saying that right

if the iranian because i understand what

about the iranian people who were

victims of saddam what about the kurds

who were victims of saddam

but that the logic of that

reasoning will have to

um

will have to be uh

drawn out by iraqis themselves

ultimately so that moral burden is on

them not on me to judge them or force

them to come to a conclusion

that's the same that's how you think in

a non-globalist way right so the

question of saddam hussein and his

legacy is not find to judge

it's for iraqis to judge

and his victims obviously can have an

opinion but

i can't right i'm an american as far as

i'm concerned as an american my country

unjustly

faded iraq

um

so you know it's

that's my view on that right

uh i literally don't okay so

battalion characteristics

is there a class struggle between the

bourgeoisie and the pmc no i think the

professional managerial class by the way

thank you so much for being a patron but

i think the professional managerial

class

is the expression of the bourgeoisie

within civil society

um

i i recommend you read my raiders my

i laid his sub stack

fuck i did not get a lot of sleep guys

jonathan thank you so much being a

patron could you explain the difference

between substantiality and materiality

is the former merely a lower more naive

form

of the latter that manifests itself

in ways such as anglo-universal

subjectivity

so to me substance

when you ask for example the question

what is the substance of a thing

you're basically asking the question of

um

how does that thing

what is the form of its essence is

basically th

that's pretty much what it is substance

is the form of the essence

if more specifically the phenomenal form

of the essence

and my problem

with substantialism

is that it confuses the essence for the

form it takes

as if the form precedes the essence

itself

uh and that is where i think that's what

i think is substantialism proper

i think it puts the cart before the

horse

quite quite plainly

i think substance is an effect of

essence

but essence is something more

fundamental than substance

substance too quickly unites the essence

with the form as if they're always

already

you know one and they're not

there's a distinction between an essence

and the form of the essence

distinction between content and form

so that's the difference substantiality

is laden with phenomenal form

materiality

refers to the actual content the real

content the real essence

behind form

now oftentimes we use substance to

designate the essence of a thing like

the substance of the matter

but the substance is just approaching it

from the perspective of form

and that's the problem

you know if you want to think of this in

an everyday or language type of sense

like for example

let's say you grabbed a rock and you say

what is the substance of this rock

that's a weird way of putting things

isn't it because

the substance of a rock is just going to

be

um

it's not going to qualify the essence of

the rock

it's going to qualify

the

composition of the rock the rock is a

substance of some kind right

whereas if you use in language the

question of what is the substance of

your position you're basically asking

for the meat and potatoes the essence of

the position

the reason for that i think

is because

when we are talking about objective

things

we're talking about objects more

specifically

we don't consider substances to be

essences

we consider substances

to be identities

they identify different objects right

i hope that answers your question

allende thanks for being a patron

in an earlier q a you talked about koja

being essential for understanding hegel

and hegel being essential for

understanding marx

how would you complete this line of

thinkers kojev hegel marx

i

where does plato fit in

um i would

i would not put

huh yeah it's you put battali in an

interesting place

you put batai before marx

and that's an interesting reading i

guess

as far as we're i think it's really

confusing there are so many other

thinkers you have to go through to

understand i mean you have to understand

kant first and foremost to understand

hagel as well you have to understand

german idealism

pretty much i mean before you get to

plato there's a lot

more i recommend you read hegel's

philosophy of history

sorry history of philosophy

right because there's quite a great deal

more

to get through than before you can get

to plato

but

i do think most people and view plato is

like a a substance of philosophy whereas

you know

all philosophy can be divided between

platinus and aristotelians

and

but the question would have been where

do kojev hegel marx stand in relation to

that

and many people say marx is outright an

aristotelian

because he's a materialist i don't

believe in that i i reject that view he

marx is definitely placed in the

pre-socratic position

but i do think kojev is a platonist

i think hegel also probably is a

platinist

as far as the conclusion of his thinking

is concerned but throughout his thinking

he is engaging with the pre-socratic

tradition

and also he he appears to be in a

versatilian according to according to

most scholars hegel's an aristotelian i

just don't think he is right

but is definitely a

latinist he's a scandalous kind of

platinus e holar thank you so much for

being a patron

this seems to relate it to the sensible

and opposition to the intelligence but i

don't think so

well not not according to

me no i don't i don't agree that

aesthetics is about the sense reduction

i think that's a very narrow

particularly british understanding of

aesthetics

no the world of the intelligibles is

included in an aesthetic

i do not afford this strict division

between senses

and

it is you know i i'm anti-empiricism i

don't believe you can just divorce

the senses

from you know what what you would call

the realm of the intelligible

the sensible to the intelligible our

senses

are laden

with a specific uh let's call it

structure

this is kant this is kant's contribution

so i i i reject the framing

you present

here

i think it's a pre-critical

understanding of the aesthetic which is

a non-starter right

um

so that's that would be my response

tyler thank you for being a patron

how should we interpret the causes and

effects of the islamic revolution in

iran as marxist in the modern era

you should interpret it um

from from the perspective of heidegger i

think i don't think you're going to be

unbe able to understand it a dogmatic

marxist approach at all

not not marxists have tried to

understand the iranian revolution

they've all failed

i've never seen one convincing marxist

analysis of that revolution

feudal islamic reactionary shut the fuck

up you don't know what you're talking

about not you patron thank you so much

by

with marxist right

um

we have to change marxism to understand

that that's that's my view

jsc thanks for being a patron

which books if any made you feel like

you wasted your time after finishing and

why

the books i was forced to read in school

um

if there is nothing valuable from a book

book at all i will not have finished it

i will have detected the lack of any

value in it very early

marcus r thank you so much for being a

patron

you ever studied hermeneutics not as its

own discipline but i know i've applied

it and stuff

so that you have a second question about

the books and resources i don't know

what it's

i think beginning understanding the

critical tradition the french school

actually yeah the french school is a

good introduction to this like ability

to

see the real thing behind things

right

that'll actually open the door to

hermeneutics

so yeah study lacon study de luz

and study kant study the german

idealists right

okie thanks for being a patron

what about socialism gives it the

capacity to unlock

the potential of a people that

liberalism or other far-right systems

not have

it allows them to give to the devil what

belongs to him and um

let the human part of us breathe in

other words

it does not confuse the sphere of our

intuitions our culture and our

traditions

with this fear of the universal state

let's call it that

which must be attended to according to

its own laws and it's on its own terms

uh in order for the latter to sorry in

order for the former to uh thrive

have you read the bible thank you so

much for being a patron

i have not

gotten full

jan brett thank you so much for being a

patron in your view how do plato and

badou's republic compare

and is bad you still idealistic in your

view

he is idealistic

but i don't think badou's

plato is the same plato i don't i think

he has an inadequate

um

inadequate view of the republic

that's my view

i find it inadequate

and let me elaborate upon why

i think baju's mathematical ontology

in which for him

the oneness of plato is the oneness of

the mathem

uh

thank you so much sean sanchez some

anti-china sentiments are following the

tavistock strategy of consensus

very true thank you so much shone for

the

nation

reduce

reduction of the platonic one to the

mathem and this is my interpretation of

badoo i could be completely wrong about

this by the way

the limitations here

um

concern the fact that

i don't think

plato's one

repeats

i think it's a oneness

uh the oneness of the idea more

specifically

i think this is not meant to repeat it's

not meant to be divisible it's not meant

to be a number um

it's meant to encompass

the entire breadth of human meaning

to such a degree that the the theme is a

kind of corruption of that the theme is

a

an imperfection

of that oneness

for their my interpretation has been

broadly that from the greek idealist

perspective

something tragical has to happen for

mathematics to emerge

mathematics means there's something

wrong

it doesn't mean

mathematics does not begin with the

might

of thought of the idea it begins

when

there's something wrong with the idea

that it has to

almost an agnostic way like

there's an emanation of the idea that

happens

um

i could be completely wrong about that

but that's just always has been my view

spandyard thank you so much for being a

patron are there specific sufi scholars

or books you would recommend

sufi is such an ambiguous word

uh

i am reading about the harufi's right

now

i could just give you what i'm reading

right now the rules

i'm reading

ian fair think this was being a patron

how wrong am i in thinking that all

western philosophy

produced in the 20th century is just

anti-communist cope

very wrong

very wrong

because you have to give this

give the communism what belongs to it is

this fear of

some deep material

reality of politics

these

you know things you named existentialism

positivism post-structuralism

are spheres belonging only to the realm

of contemplation and thought

there is no immediate connection between

thought and the reality of communism

you do have to do the work

of arriving through your intellect

at a sense of clarity as to what

communism actually was in the first

place

so no i don't think you can skip skip

that hard work

i i really am dissatisfied with marxists

who just say shit oh yeah marxism just

gives you everything

no it doesn't

marxism leninism specifically it's a

it's very much a

practical methodical

science that works in reality

but how do you understand that how do

you articulate that how do you even

think about that is something different

the most important thing is this it

works it's a method it's a protocol

you know it's it's a tradition

it's an index of concrete experiences

how do you think about that is not going

to be contained in marxism at least

at least um in in the immediate sense

right

jc denton thank you so much for being a

patron is kojov's intro to reading hegel

a good place to start to get into hegel

yes

that's the easiest question

orville thanks for being a patron shout

out orville

he have a different interpretation of

render under caesar can you explain what

you mean by it

for me render under caesar is just an

acknowledgement that the sphere of

politics

is not immediately identical with the

sphere of religiosity

the spiritual realm

i might when i said give to the devil

what belongs to him it's also kind of

like render under caesar right

so it doesn't mean submit to authority

it just means

don't confuse the kingdom of

spirit or the kingdom of

heaven

there is a connection between them

but you have to respect the sphere of

politics

as conforming to its own laws

and its own reality now should that

reality ultimately be in conformity with

the truth of revelation yes

but it's going gonna be in an indirect

way not in a direct way

i think it's a good case for communism

isn't it

you're not gonna just

read the bible and then it's gonna be a

law book not a law book not the new

testament right

you've got to discover how that works

politically

through the laws of politics and reality

itself so that's my interpretation

in any case

that concludes this week's q a session

i'm going to be posting a new

patreon post

and i'll see you guys tomorrow and i'm

going to be getting to uh

as soon as this video is done processing

i'm gonna be editing it out

so don't worry about that

okay

bye guys